Results
Will Article 50 be triggered by the end of the first quarter? Yes
Will Marine LePen win France's presidential election? No
Will Angela Merkel win a fourth term as Germany's prime minister? Yes
Will the Iran nuclear deal collapse? No
Will Donald Trump and Vladmir Putin do a Syria deal? No
Will Donald Trump build the Mexican border wall? No
Will Isis be destroyed as a significant global force? No
Will Jacob Zuma remain president of South Africa? Yes
Will the UK's annual growth rate fall below one per cent in 2017? No
Will China allow its currency to fall in value by more than 10 per cent? No
Will North Korea successfully test a nuclear-capable missile? Both answers accepted
Will Venezuela default on its sovereign debt? Yes (Although both the government and investors are behaving as though it hasn't for now, Venezuela did default on its sovereign bonds in 2017)
Will the S&P 500 end the year above 2300? Yes
Will US fed policy rate be above 1.5 per cent at the end 2017? No
Will oil end the year above $50? Yes
Will EU inflation be 1.5 per cent or higher at year end? Yes
Will a major European bank fail? Yes
Will Uber go public? No
Will Apple be the most valuable company in the world at year end? Yes
Will LLoyd Blankfein and/or Jamie Dimon retire/resign/move on from Goldman Sachs or JP Morgan? No
TIEBREAKER: How many Grammy Awards will Beyoncé win this year? 2